November 21, 2023

Polling update

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Five poll average: Trump leads by 3%.... Last June: tie

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING
Five poll average 41%, 4% below 2023 high, 4%  below 2022 high

TRUMP APPROVAL RATING
Five poll average 44%  - 2% above last April 

 PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS

Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. He leads in 2024 by 31 with 26 too close to call 

FLORIDA
2020 3%
2024 2 poll average 9%
9% down

NEW YORK
2020 23%
2024 21%  7% 
9%
Avg: 12% 

11% down

MICHIGAN
2020 3%
2024
3 poll avg 4%

8% down
Electoral vote change 16
Biden vs Haley in Mich: Haley 11% lead

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