June 27, 2026

Environment

The U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit ruled that air pollution limits tightened by the Environmental Protection Agency under President Joe Biden should remain in force, thwarting efforts by the Trump administration, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and other groups to vacate that standard and return to a previous one.

Polls

Pew Reseach  - Across 36 countries surveyed this spring, a median of 76% of adults say they lack confidence in President Donald Trump to do the right thing regarding world affairs. Overall ratings for the U.S. are also largely negative. And the share of people who see the U.S. as a reliable partner is down in many countries since 2022, by anywhere from 17 to 52 percentage points.


Over 5 million Texas kids to be taught Christianity in public schools

MS NOW -  Texas State Board of Education on Friday approved a new required reading list for more than 5 million K-12 public schools that includes stories from the Bible.

The list will affect every grade level. Elementary students will be required to read picture-book versions of “David and Goliath” and “Daniel and the Lion’s Den.” Middle school students must read passages from the Sermon on the Mount from the Bible’s New Testament, while high schoolers must read about Adam and Eve and the parable of the prodigal son.

The changes will impact 5.5 million public school students in the religiously diverse state, according to enrollment data for the 2024-25 school year.

The reading list, which received preliminary approval in April, drew criticism from parents and educators who decried the infusion of religion in public school curriculum. Critics of the list, including religious freedom groups and other faith groups, argued it centers Christianity in public school instruction, raising concerns about the separation of church and state enshrined in the Constitution.

The required list will take effect in 2030.

Trump regime

NY Times - The Trump administration is conducting a far-reaching investigation into whether Yale University’s admissions practices violate anti-discrimination laws, prompting one of the country’s most elite schools to pursue settlement talks with the government, according to three people briefed on the matter.

The Justice Department last month accused Yale’s medical school of giving illegal preferential treatment to Black and Hispanic applicants. But the department’s review is reaching beyond the medical school, the people said, encompassing undergraduate and law school admissions as well.

The expansive inquiry demonstrates the aggressive approach the Trump administration is taking to enforce its interpretation of the Supreme Court ruling that effectively banned race-conscious admissions three years ago. It shows the administration’s intensifying focus on admissions and represents a new front against Yale, which has largely been spared in the White House’s effort to punish elite colleges and reshape academia.

Yale’s quick moves to try to reach an agreement with the government suggest it does not want a high-profile, drawn-out fight similar to the one involving Harvard University. The status of a potential agreement was unclear on Friday, but Yale recently offered a proposal to the government, according to the three people briefed on the matter. The people, who have ties to the Trump administration or to Yale, spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the talks.

Health

Hartmann Report -  Senate Democrats noticed that traditional Medicare is the only insurance in America with no limit on what it can cost you, and decided to do something about it. Sen. Ron Wyden and 14 co-sponsors introduced legislation Thursday — the Medicare Cost Cap Act — to put a $5,000 annual ceiling on out-of-pocket spending for seniors in traditional Medicare. Right now, beneficiaries owe 20% of their medical bills with no upper bound, which means a cancer diagnosis or a long hospital stay can run into tens of thousands of dollars; that terror is precisely why 43% of enrollees shell out for separate Medigap policies whose premiums keep climbing each year. (As I document in shocking detail in The Hidden History of American Healthcare, that 20% hole was put in there by Southern conservatives to keep Black people from using the system.) Every other corner of the insurance world — employer plans, the ACA — already has a cap. Wyden framed the coming fight as Democrats trying to give Medicare patients “a fair shake” while the other side runs interference for billionaires, and Protect Our Care hailed it as a direct answer to the Trump-era affordability crisis. Yes, it would cost the Treasury real money — perhaps $50 billion a year — and yes, the bill is a long shot in this GOP-run Congress. But that’s the whole point: it draws the line in bright paint heading into November. Following Reagan’s old “Two Santas” strategy, a Republican-run government that found trillions for billionaire tax cuts suddenly developed a “steely concern for the deficit” the moment a middle class grandmother with cancer might benefit. That reflex, too, is a 45-year-old GOP inheritance…


Oil nearing pre-war prices, gas stations leaving charges up

The Hill -  Oil is nearing its prewar price after the U.S. and Iran agreed to a memorandum of understanding (MOU) intended to end the conflict, but gasoline prices remain significantly elevated.  While President Trump has blamed Big Oil for price “gouging,” analysts say it’s individual gas station owners that are slow to lower fuel prices.

“The public is mad at the major oil companies because gasoline prices have not fallen as fast as the price of crude oil. … Their anger is misplaced,” Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, said in an email to The Hill. “The oil companies own less than 5% of the service stations but their brands are sold at most of them. They should be mad at the local gasoline service station owner. They are making lots of money,” he said.


Trump threatens Europe with possible 100% import tarrifs

The Guardian -  Donald Trump has threatened to place a 100% import tariff on any European country that imposes a tax on digital services from US companies.  Writing on Truth Social on Friday, the US president said that “numerous European countries” had been discussing putting a digital services tax on American companies and that “some of these countries are close to actually doing this”.

“Please let this statement serve to represent that any country that imposes such a tax will immediately be met with a 100% TARIFF on any and all Goods sent to the United States of America,” Trump continued. He added that the tariff would be immediately imposed and supersede any other prior trade deals that existed with the country.

The threat could set off another saga in Trump’s global trade war, in which he has placed drastic tariffs on countries and economic blocs at once. If Trump followed through on his warning, it could set off a larger trade war between the US and EU if the 27-country economic bloc felt compelled to retaliate to the tariff hike.

Effect of miscounting the Census

Project on Government Oversight -   In this report, POGO examines how census accuracy impacts critical federal funding for children aged 0–18 and the services needed to support a wide range of areas that shape their lives, including health, education, housing, economic development, and more.

Many people may not realize how influential the census is in determining how much federal money gets allocated to different geographic regions across the country. Census-guided programs serving children deliver funds either directly to communities or to state agencies. The census influences funding distribution in myriad ways: Depending on the program, it may use census data such as location, population, household income, age, school districts, and school enrollment to determine state eligibility and distribution.

The deficit or surplus of federal funding a state may receive stemming from inaccurate counts can directly impact children’s educational and economic outcomes and more. An undercount could mean fewer dollars, thereby fewer resources. An overcount could result in a state receiving more federal funds than its population warrants; for programs with fixed appropriations, this may proportionately reduce the share available to other states.

The U.S. Census Bureau released an analysis documenting the undercount of children aged 0–4 in the 2020 census: This age group was undercounted more than any other demographic, with approximately 1 million of the young children going uncounted in the 2020 census. They acknowledged that children have historically been miscounted, potentially leading certain states to lose out on significant funding and critical resources for them.

Donald Trump

Axios - In a blistering speech to religious conservatives yesterday, Trump warned that "communists" are taking over the Democratic Party and "they want to completely destroy the traditional American way of life."....Trump spent much of his speech to the coalition's annual "Road to Majority" conference railing against the far-left victories.

  • He joked that he'd be the "greatest communist in history" — by giving everyone free rent, free food, free everything. "The problem is, after two or three years, the country is a disaster area," Trump said.
  • "The Democrat Party is in big trouble, because this isn't stopping with New York," he went on.  Share this story

Middle East

The Hill -   Iran launched a drone attack against Bahrain early Saturday, hours after the U.S. military carried out strikes on Iranian military sites. Bahrain, which hosts the U.S. Navy’s Fifth Fleet, said it was attacked by a number of Iranian drones and condemned the latest strikes as a blatant violation of its sovereignty. It accused Tehran of “destabilizing security, exporting chaos and undermining regional stability.”

There were no immediate reports of damage or casualties in the Gulf state. Hours later, a shipping monitor run by the British Navy — the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations center — said a vessel in the Strait of Hormuz was struck by an unidentified projectile. The ship’s bridge was damaged, but no injuries were reported.

The attack appears to be in retaliation to the U.S. Central Command operation on Friday, which zeroed in on Iranian missile and drone storage sites and coastal radar locations. The strike was a response to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ Thursday attack on a Singapore-flagged container ship, Ever Lovely, near the coast of Oman as it was exiting the Strait of Hormuz.

President Trump, in justifying the operation, said Iran had “foolishly” violated its ceasefire agreement.

June 26, 2026

Polls

Time - President Donald Trump and his allies have touted the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran as a victory, but recent polls suggest that Americans are skeptical that the U.S. is in a better position as a result. Just 24% of Americans think that the war with Iran was worth the costs, according to the latest poll from Reuters/Ipsos. Half of the respondents to the poll said the conflict was not worth it. 

The Greatest Moments in American History

Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom - When 10% of the people in this country own two-thirds of the wealth, when we have minted the first trillionaire in human history, and yet your wages have stagnated, and your healthcare costs have skyrocketed, something is fundamentally broken.  It's time for a national billionaires’ tax and a new social compact.

So where do we go from here?

A national billionaires’ tax. A true minimum tax on billionaires — a modern Buffett Rule — that ensures the people at the very top pay at least the tax rate their own workers pay.

End the “tax-free lifestyle loan.” It's the gimmick that lets the ultra-wealthy borrow against their stock portfolios while reporting no taxable income, and then pass the appreciated assets to their children with the gains untaxed.

Rewrite our inheritance rules. If we do not act, that transfer of wealth among the ultra-wealthy will lock in a permanent American aristocracy of inherited wealth, with all the political consequences the founders warned us about.

Return to pre-2017 corporate tax rates. Record corporate profits flowed into stock buybacks and executive compensation. Workers’ real wages stagnated, and vibrant middle-class communities were hollowed out.

Ensure every American owns a stake in the future being built by AI through a national public equity fund. It’s clear that we are entering an entirely new economic paradigm. Automation could create unfathomable growth, but who benefits from that wealth? We need to ensure every American owns a stake in the future being built by AI through a national public equity fund that takes a major stake in the new economy.

We are nearing the 250th anniversary of this country’s revolution. The system America’s founders built was designed to prevent the concentration of power in a few hands, but we have allowed that concentration to happen anyway, slowly, in plain sight, over decades. We can reverse it together, as a country.

Immigration

Washington Post -    Immigrants began making plans to sell or rent their homes, secure bank accounts and figure out thorny issues like child custody arrangements. Business owners started calculating how many days they can continue to employ workers whose legal status is set to expire. And nursing home leaders warned they would have fewer beds to offer if health aides are forced to leave the country.

Panic rippled through communities from Florida to Ohio and beyond in the hours after the Supreme Court cleared the Trump administration Thursday to strip humanitarian protections from Haitians and Syrians — and potentially all 1.3 million immigrants from over a dozen countries who had been previously shielded from deportation.

“The residents will be losing caregivers that they really have become attached to,” said Colin O’Leary, executive director at Laurel Ridge Rehabilitation & Skilled Care Center in Boston. Managers at the facility were racing to figure out how much longer staff members from Haiti with temporary protected status could continue taking care of patients. “That’s a lot for our residents to handle.”

Attorneys said Haitians and Syrians could lose work permits in little more than a month, but the deadline remained unclear because lower court judges must issue orders to implement the decision. Stephen Miller, the White House deputy chief of staff, told reporters Thursday that Haitians and others with temporary protected status should be detained and deported once they lose the benefit.

Wikipedia co-founder permanently banned from site

The Free Press - Twenty-five years ago, Larry Sanger co-founded what is arguably the most important encyclopedia in human history. Wikipedia, which now has millions of entries on every topic imaginable, was designed to be a hub of free and unfettered knowledge, built by and open to the public.

So why was Sanger, earlier this week, permanently banned from the site he helped found?  He tells that story for us today. It’s one that starts back in 2001, with the admirable, game-changing goal of democratizing information. But after Sanger left the project in 2002, he “watched in dismay as the site I’d created began to drift from its founding mission.”

Ideological bias took hold; pages were whitewashed; left-leaning outlets came to dominate sourcing; and a small group of administrators grew “beholden more to each other than to any constitutional framework.”

Last week, Sanger launched an effort to reform Wikipedia from within—only to be met with a coordinated effort to ridicule, discredit, and undermine it, culminating in a lifetime ban on Monday. “I knew Wikipedia’s disciplinary processes were bad—but I had never experienced them myself,” he writes.

John Bolton pleads guilty

Headline USA -   Former Trump administration national security adviser John Bolton pleaded guilty on Friday to illegally retaining classified information, sealing a deal with federal prosecutors that could allow him to avoid a prison term.

Bolton is scheduled to be sentenced on Oct. 28 by U.S. District Judge Theodore Chuang in Greenbelt, Maryland.

Bolton, 77, pleaded guilty to a single count of illegally retaining national defense information, which carries a maximum sentence of 10 years. His plea agreement with the Justice Department may enable him to avoid time behind bars, but the judge ultimately will decide his punishment.

Mail-In Voting

Bowers News Media -   Yesterday, in response to a lawsuit brought by a group of Democratic states, a federal district court judge blocked Donald Trump's most recent executive order on mail-in voting. This is the executive order from March 31, 2026, that would require states to submit their lists of approved mail-in voters to the United States Postal Service (USPS) in order for the USPS to deliver mail-in ballots to those states.

While is an important win, the fight is far from over. Not only is the Trump administration expected to appeal this ruling, but four weeks ago a different federal district court judge allowed the mail-in executive order to stand. Democrats are and civil rights organizations are appealing that ruling.

....Whether or not states will have to submit an approved list of mail-in voters to United States Postal Service in order to conduct mail-in voting this year will be determined in the courts. On the one side will be the Trump administration, and on the other side will be, primarily, Democratic elected officials like state attorneys general and secretaries of state.

Middle East

The Hill -   Iran on Friday asserted its authority over the Strait of Hormuz, warning that safe passage can only be guaranteed for ships that coordinate with Tehran.  The statement comes after President Trump accused Iran of hitting a commercial vessel sailing close to the coast of Oman with a one-way attack drone. The British military said the vessel was transiting through a United Nations-approved route. 

Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi posted on the social platform X that passage through the strait must be coordinated with Iran and that attempts to subvert Tehran could lead to “the suspension of the designated parallel route.”  “Safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz, with ambiguous arrangements, parallel routes, or decision-making outside of Iran’s considerations as the coastal state, cannot be guaranteed,” he said.

DOJ joins Catholic nuns in case

Prime Chronicle -   Federal officials have stepped into a New York case that puts Catholic conscience rights on a collision course with gender ideology rules. The Justice Department has moved to join a lawsuit filed by Catholic nuns against New York’s long-term care rule.
The sisters say the state is forcing conduct that clashes with Catholic teaching on rooms, bathrooms, names, pronouns, and training.

New York says the law protects residents from discrimination based on gender identity and sexual orientation. The dispute now pits religious liberty and family values against state enforcement power in a nursing home setting. 

The Justice Department’s decision to join the case raises the stakes fast. Federal involvement usually signals that a dispute has moved beyond a local licensing fight and into a broader constitutional clash. In this case, the federal government is backing the sisters against a state rule that New York says protects residents from discrimination, while the nuns say it burdens religion and speech.  That makes the case more than a culture-war headline. It becomes a test of how far states can go when they regulate faith-based health care providers. 

Why we're late

Sam Smith - Undernews comes to you from a small town in Maine right next to a state park. Thanks to yesterday's weather we went without electricity for quite a few hours yesterday and without internet connection until just a few minutes ago. Turns out a tree in the park fell on the electric and internet wires and cut off our service. 

Flotsam & Jetsam - The gadfly thing

 Sam Smith, 2015 - I was recently described in an otherwise kind article in Washington’s City Paper as a "political gadfly." This was neither the first time nor will it be the last. It has happened to me so often that I was able to tell the writer where the word came from (a fly that bites and annoys cattle). In fact, it has happened to me so often that I once had a dinghy called the Gadfly.

Gadflies are only barely further along in the evolutionary chain of things than maggots and slugs. They are frequently found resting placidly on a pile of excrement. As readers well know, I never am at rest sitting on a pile of shit.

Being called a gadfly is a little like being bitten by one. It’s also, notes Jon Rowe, like Ralph Nader being called a "self-styled consumer advocate." Where, Rowe wonders, does one go to get a license to become an properly appointed consumer advocate? To the Washington Post Style Section?

People in Washington who call other people gadflies tend to be either players or people who wish they were. A player is someone trying to be Assistant Secretary of HUD, someone who represents a major polluter and claims to practice environmental law, someone who is paid large sums of money to shout down Eleanor Clift on national TV or who pays large sums of money to get politicians to wrestle with -- and ultimately defeat -- their own conscience. Players are annoyed by gadflies because they won’t play according to the players’ rules. On the other hand, gadflies don’t clutter up the bureaucracy making dull speeches, and they don’t create toxic waste sites or corrupt the political system. They tend to eat Mr. Tyson’s chicken rather than fly on his planes. And at the end of the day, they have less explaining to do to their children.

Players tend to be quite insecure which is why they need such an elaborate support system, including the Washingtonian magazine, the Gridiron Dinner, the Washington Post Style section and the Diane Rehm Show. Players consider themselves serious; gadflies not. Russell Baker, a serious man, addressed this matter best in a column in which he pointed out the difference between being serious and being solemn. Baker observed that children are almost always serious, but that they start to lose the trait in adolescence. Washington is the capital of solemnity and few of its elite are truly serious.

Gadflies, on the other hand, are usually serious. A gadfly tends to be someone with ideas, energy and a modicum of talent but who lacks a PR firm, ghostwriter and a proper flair for networking. A gadfly is someone who actually wants to get something done, but often can’t -- largely because of all the players in the way.

EF Schumacher once said, "We must do what we conceive to be the right thing, and not bother our heads or burden our souls with whether we are going to be successful. Because if we don't do the right thing, we'll be doing the wrong thing, and we will just be part of the disease, and not a part of the cure."

Gadflies would agree. They think for themselves. But in Washington thought is something players purchase, just like they purchase gas, condoms or political access. People who think are considered part of the service industry with commensurate compensation and social regard.

When gadflies feel like using a bovine analogy, they think of themselves as mavericks -- animals whose only sin has been to wander off from their colleagues. Mavericks also, as they say in Texas, drink upstream from the herd, which if you know anything about cattle is not a bad idea.

Take a run-of-the-mill gadfly such as myself and then some average players -- say the editorial board the Washington Post -- and compare their records over a couple of decades. The gadfly approach to freeways, urban policy, Vietnam, the environment and Bill Clinton will, I think, hold up pretty well. The problem gadflies face is not that they are irrelevant or wrong but that their timing is a bit off. The FBI used to categorize members of the Abraham Lincoln Brigade as "premature anti-fascists." Similarly, many gadflies are just moderates of an age that has not yet arrived.

June 25, 2026

Polls

New - Generic Ballot poll 🔵 Democrats 53% (+7) 🔴 Republicans 45% Marquette

Donald Trump


Hoodlum  -    John Thune is 6’4”. The White House released the results of Trump’s physical stating he is 6’3”. That’s a pretty big inch.

Guns

Independent -   Gun owners with concealed-carry permits may freely bring their firearms onto private properties that are also open to the public, such as gas stations, restaurants or stores, the Supreme Court said Thursday in a ruling that strikes down a Hawaii state law.

In a 6-3 decision, the court’s conservative majority said the Hawaii law - that required gun owners to obtain permission from an owner before bringing a gun onto their private property - imposed “a new and significant burden” on the right to bear arms.

While the ruling adds further Second Amendment protections for concealed-carry permit holders, it's unlikely to have a sweeping impact across the country because most states don't have a law like the one in Hawaii and allow concealed-carry permit holders to bring guns onto private property with no prior permission. The states impacted will include New York, New Jersey, Maryland and California.

Middle East

Republicans against Trump  -  In a major blow to Trump, the Senate voted 50–48 to approve a resolution ordering the removal of U.S. forces from hostilities against Iran unless Congress declares war or authorizes the use of military force.  Republican senators Collins, Cassidy, Murkowski, and Paul voted yes. Fetterman was the only Democrat to vote no.  Senators McConnell and McCormick did not vote

Voting rights

Newsbreak -   A federal judge on Wednesday permanently barred President Donald Trump’s administration from implementing most of his first executive order on elections, part of which sought to require people to show documentary proof of citizenship when they register to vote.

The ruling by U.S. District Court Judge Denise Casper in Boston effectively converts a preliminary injunction she issued a year ago, in which she temporarily blocked many of Trump’s efforts to overhaul elections, into a permanent ban...

"The Constitution “does not grant the President any specific powers over elections,” she wrote.

Among other proposed changes, Trump’s order would have required people to provide documentary proof of citizenship when registering to vote, prevented mail ballots from being counted if they arrive after Election Day, even if they were postmarked by then, and punished states that failed to comply by withholding certain federal money.

Major Supreme Court Decisions in 2026

NYC's lesson for the Democrats

The Hartmann Report -   On Tuesday night, the establishment wing of the Democratic Party got a message it would prefer to pretend it didn’t hear. In New York, Mamdani-backed progressives swept the congressional primaries, ousting two sitting Democratic congressmen and taking an open seat in a single evening.

Former city comptroller Brad Lander beat Rep. Dan Goldman by more than thirty points. A 32-year-old democratic socialist named Darializa Avila Chevalier knocked off five-term Rep. Adriano Espaillat, the chair of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, and state Assembly member Claire Valdez won the seat Nydia Velázquez is vacating. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (a recipient of dark money and AIPAC money) campaigned hard against all three and watched all three win anyway.

As Bernie Sanders put it afterward, the message is pretty clear: Americans are sick to death of a rigged economy and of billionaires buying their elections.

The corporate press and just about every Republican in the country will tell you these candidates are “socialists,” and they’ll spit the word the way you’d say “arsonist.” A little history clears the fog.

When a young public defender in upper Manhattan or a state assemblywoman in Brooklyn calls herself a democratic socialist today, she isn’t talking about Havana or the old Soviet Politburo (the way Republicans and much of the press want you to think). The three who won in New York ran on Medicare for All, affordable housing, stronger union protections, and an end to U.S. military support for Israel’s assault on Gaza.

Supreme Court cancels claim that Roundup causes cancer

NY Times -  The Supreme Court on Thursday sided with the manufacturer of the weedkiller Roundup, overturning a jury award for a Missouri man who claimed the widely used herbicide caused cancer in a decision that could have sweeping impacts on thousands of other Americans who similarly claim the product sickened them.

In the 7-to-2 decision, written by Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh, the majority found that a federal law that regulates pesticides barred the Missouri man’s lawsuit.

Justice Kavanaugh wrote that the Missouri case would “require a cancer warning on Roundup’s label,” which would directly conflict with the label required by the federal Environmental Protection Agency. Because of this conflict, he wrote, federal law “expressly pre-empts” the Missouri man’s claim.

The dispute focused on a single case, a $1.25 million award for John Durnell, a gardener in St. Louis who had used Roundup for decades and claimed that years of exposure to the product led him to develop non-Hodgkin lymphoma, a blood cancer. Mr. Durnell claimed that the company had failed to warn consumers of the dangers of the product.

Weather

The Nation -   This week, a brutal heat wave is shattering heat records in Europe. It’s but it’s worth recalling however that last summer the same thing happened in Asia: China, Japan, and Korea suffered their hottest summers on record in 2025, the World Meteorological Organization noted in a new report. Now it’s France’s turn. And maybe Belgium, Spain, and Britain’s as well. As global warming driven mainly by burning fossil fuels continues to intensify, scientists say that record breaking heat will become increasingly frequent throughout the world.

Temperatures in France this week have been the hottest ever recorded, exceeding 44 degrees Celsius (112 degrees Fahrenheit) on June 23. French authorities placed more than half the country on “red alert” and warned that the extreme heat would continue for days to come, Agence France-Presse reported. The Guardian quoted the French health minister explaining that “many people are going to suffer, because bodies suffer from an accumulation of high temperatures.”

The intensity, scope, and projected duration of this extreme heat has drawn comparisons to the catastrophic heat wave that scorched Europe in 2003. That heat wave is a landmark event in the history of human-caused climate change for two reasons. First, it was the first extreme weather event that scientists authoritatively attributed to climate change; a team of British scientists published a study concluding that global warming was responsible for 45 percent of the excessive heat that punished Europe that summer. Second, the 2003 heat wave was global warming’s first mass casualty event: It killed a staggering 71,000 people in six weeks, considerably more than the number of US war deaths throughout all the years of the Vietnam War. (Initial reports estimated that 15,000 people died, a figure sometimes still repeated today, but subsequent epidemiological analysis concluded that the actual death toll was nearly five times higher.)

The Guardian -   This month, NOAA confirmed the formation of El Niño in the tropical Pacific and issued an official advisory. Forecasters expect it to strengthen through the winter of 2026–27, with a 63% chance it will reach the “very strong” threshold, placing it among the strongest events in the modern record dating back to 1950. In a world already experiencing record heat, such an event could bring more dangerous extremes: drought, wildfires, flooding, and in the Pacific, a more active hurricane season. And, as is always the case, these events disproportionately affect the most vulnerable.

In the face of this evolving threat, the Trump administration has sought to cripple our forecasting capabilities. This spring, the National Science Foundation (NSF) began “descoping” the Ocean Observatories Initiative, a network that delivers real-time ocean data from more than 900 sensors. “Descoping” is bureaucratic language for dismantling the program. The agency announced plans to pull all sensors, buoys and other equipment from four of the program’s five sites. These arrays span from the Gulf of Alaska to the Irminger Sea between Greenland and Iceland, and down to the waters off North Carolina. Built over a decade at a cost of approximately $386m, the system is among the most advanced ocean-observing networks in the world.

Make no mistake. Pulling these arrays was not a budgetary exercise. Rather, the NSF’s actions are more properly viewed as an extension of the Trump administration’s broader assault on federal climate science. The objective is apparently to weaken the programs that measure climate change and then claim the problem is “uncertain”. But turning off the alarm does not put out the fire.