March 21, 2019

Polls: Still a rough battle for Democrats

Biden is the only Democrat who beats Trump in recent polls. In non=blue states, he wins in Michigan and Wisconsin. The only other Democrats to win in Michigan are Sanders and Klobuchar. No Democrat wins in Iowa, Arizona, North Carolina or Texas. 

DEMOCRATS' MARGIN VS. TRUMP

Most recent poll to right

+12, +10, 10% Biden

+10, +2, +2%   Sanders
+6,   +6, -2%    O'Rourke
+6,   +6, +2%   Warren 
+7,   +4, +4%   Harris

+5,   +2%         Booker
+5%                 Gillbrand 
+4%                 Brown
+2%                 Klobuchar

+ 9, 8% Biden (Schultz 7, 4%)
-2%       O'Rourke (Schultz 10%)

-2%       Harris (Schultz 12%)


DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES 
As judged by Democratic voters. Most recent poll to right

Biden   27, 30 23, 37, 29, 30, 31, 28, 35, 28, 26%

Sanders 17, 21, 12, 22, 27, 19, 27, 25, 27, 20, 26%
Harris  13; 15, 11, 7, 10, 10, 10, 11, 10, 8, 12, 12%.

O'Rourke  4, 6, 7, 7. 4, 7, 4, 6, 7, 4, 6, 6, 8, 11, 11%
Warren  2, 4, 6, 8, 8; 9, 8, 6, 4, 7, 4, 7, 8, 7, 6, 8%
Booker 2, 5, 1, 4, 5, 9, 5, 3, 4, 4, 5, 4, 5, 4, 3, 3% 
Buttigieg 3%
Klobuchar 3, 3, 1, 2, 3, 7, 4, 2, 3, 2, 3, 3, 2, 3. 1 %
Castro 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1%
Inslee 1,1, 1% 
Hickenlooper 1% 
Gabbard 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0%
Gilibrand 1,1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0%

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