November 5, 2024

Polling update: Too close to call

The poll averages are too close to call, both in the national results and in key states.  The poll averages reflect past turn out. Changes such as more women or young voting is not reflected in these stats.

TRUMP VS HARRIS
Latest polls average: Harris leads by 1% ... Harris' best this year was 5%

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: HARRIS VS. TRUMP/OTHERS
Latest polls average: Harris leads by 1%   In June Biden's best was 2% behind Trump.

PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
270 electoral votes needed to win. Harris currently has 228.  Biden won in 2020 with 306.  There are now 74 electoral votes too close to call, 32 more than Harris needs to win

ARIZONA
Latest polls average:  Trump leads by 3%
Electoral vote:  11  to Trump

GEORGIA
Latest polls average: Trump leads by 1%
 Electoral vote 16 Virtual tie

MICHIGAN
Latest polls average: Harris leads by 1%
Electoral vote: 16 Virtual tie

NEVADA
Latest polls average: average: Trump leads by 2%
Electoral vote: 6 Virtual tie 

NORTH CAROLINA
Latest polls average:   Trump leads by 1%
Electoral vote: 6 Virtual tie

PENNSYLVANIA 
Latest polls average: Harris leads by 1%
Electoral count: 20  Virtual tie

WISCONSIN
Latest polls average: Harris leads by 1%
Electoral count: 10  Virtual tie


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