Polls

The latest Cygnal survey, conducted August 7–9 among 1,500 likely general election voters, shows Trump's favorability with Hispanics has dropped significantly over the summer. In April, 44 percent viewed him favorably and 51 percent unfavorably. By August, those numbers had shifted to 33 percent favorable and 65 percent unfavorable. 

 The Midwesterner News - A shock poll released this week by the Siena Research Institute shows 23% of self-described conservative voters plan to back socialist candidate Zohran Mamdani, who is running as a Democrat. Election Day is November 4.

The poll, of 813 registered voters taken August 4-7, found just 40% of conservative voters are supporting Republican Curtis Sliwa. Incumbent Mayor Eric Adams captures 9% while former Gov. Andrew Cuomo earns 18% of votes from conservative voters.

New Republic -  A recent Pew survey found that the largest drop in Trump’s support by far was among his youngest voters in 2024, between the ages of 18 and 39. Only 69 percent of Trump’s youngest voters said that they approved of his job performance, down from 92 percent when he entered office, according to the survey. In the last two months alone, Trump’s job performance approval dropped 11 points among this demographic....

The same survey found that 53 percent of Republicans said that they disapproved of the administration’s handling of the investigation into Jeffrey Epstein, with the disapproval rating being higher among younger Republicans. It seems that the president’s ties to the alleged sex trafficker, and his administration’s refusal to publish a long-awaited client list, has resonated more with the party’s newer members. Apparently, not everyone is buying Trump’s knee-jerk reaction to dismiss the Epstein matter as a Democratic hoax.

Independent, UK -   According to a Pew Research Center survey conducted between August 4 and 10, just 38 percent of respondents approve of the way Trump is handling his job, while 60 percent disapprove.

A majority of Americans, 53 percent, say Trump is making the federal government work worse, while just 27 percent say he’s making it work better. 

Newsweek -  A new poll from Politico and the Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research found that most Californians would support keeping the independent redistricting, marking a potential public opinion hurdle for Newsom and Democrats.

Sixty-four percent of California voters support keeping the commission, while only 36 percent support returning redistricting authority to the state legislature, according to the poll. It surveyed 1,445 registered voters from July 28 to August 12.