Iran - Israel

According to CNN US intel suggests that Trump's attack did not destroy Iran's nuclear sites and likely ONLY set the program back by 'months'. 

NBC News -  Israel has accused Iran of what it described as a “severe violation” of President Donald Trump’s ceasefire — a charge Iran denies. Speaking to reporters early Tuesday morning, Trump acknowledged that both Iran and Israel violated the agreement and warned Israel against launching another attack on Iran in a post on Truth Social.

The precarious truce was reached earlier when Israel and Iran said they had agreed to a ceasefire proposed by Trump nearly two weeks after Israel first launched airstrikes. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office said his country had achieved "all of the objectives" of its military operations in Iran and therefore accepted the terms of the truce. Iranian state media acknowledged the start of the ceasefire early Tuesday local time. 

Trump announced a "complete and total ceasefire" on social media yesterday afternoon and said when it took effect "the war will be considered ended." In an exclusive phone interview with NBC News' Yamiche Alcindor, Trump said the ceasefire would last "forever." Asked whether the war was completely over, Trump said, "Yes. I don't believe they will ever be shooting at each other again." 

A diplomat briefed on the talks said the agreement was the result of negotiations by Trump, Vice President JD Vance and top Qatari officials who took the proposal to Iran. Earlier, Iran launched a retaliatory strike on the Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, where thousands of U.S. troops are stationed. No casualties were reported. Experts said the strike appeared to be designed to avoid triggering a massive escalation with the U.S, experts and former officials said. 

The 12 days of strikes between Israel and Iran have killed at least 400 people and injured 3,000 in Iran, according to the Iranian Health Ministry, while Iran's retaliatory strikes on Israel have killed at least 24 people. 

The Guardian -  When Donald Trump ordered the US military to bomb Iran’s nuclear facilities over the weekend, the debate among intelligence officials, outside experts and policymakers over the status of Tehran’s nuclear program had largely been frozen in place for nearly 20 years.

That prolonged debate has repeatedly placed the relatively dovish US intelligence community at odds with Israel and neoconservative Iran hawks ever since the height of the global war on terror.

For nearly two decades, the US intelligence agencies have concluded that while Iran has a program to enrich uranium, it has never actually built any atomic bombs. It is an assessment that has been at the core of their intelligence reporting on Iran since at least 2007. This has led to constant debates over the years over the significance of Iran’s uranium enrichment program versus “weaponization” or bomb-building.

Israel and the Iran hawks have repeatedly said that the debate over enrichment versus weaponization is not significant, because Iran could build a bomb relatively quickly. But Iran suspended its weaponization program in 2003 and hasn’t tried to build a bomb since; it’s been clear for decades that the Iranian regime has seen that its own interests are better served by maintaining the threat of having a nuclear weapon rather than actually having one.