Despite the revelation of numerous Trump scandals, he remains essentially tied with Biden. At the end of 2022 our five poll average had Biden one point ahead of Trump. At the end of June 2023 he was tied.
2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Five poll average: Tie .... June: tie
BIDEN APPROVAL RATING
Five poll average 41%, 5% below 2023 high, 6% below 2022 high
TRUMP APPROVAL RATING
Five poll average 38% - Down 4% since April
GOP PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY
Five poll average: Trump leads DeSantis by 32% down 1% since July
HARRIS APPROVAL RATING
Five poll average: 40% June 39%
KEY STATE MARGINS
Recent poll results from key states for President and Senate. Red=GOP lead, Blue=Dem lead. State color indicates 2020 results
PRESIDENTIAL
Arizona
Trump 1
Michigan
Trump 4
SENATE SEATS
Arizona
0 0 7
Michigan
2
Montana
3
1
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