July 13, 2022

Democrats losing their own base

 Axios

Democrats now have a bigger advantage among white college graduates than they do with nonwhite voters, Axios' Josh Kraushaar writes from a New York Times/Siena College poll.

Why it matters: We're seeing a political realignment in real time.

  • Democrats are becoming the party of upscale voters concerned more about issues like gun control and abortion rights.
  • Republicans are quietly building a multiracial coalition of working-class voters, with inflation as an accelerant.

What's happening: House Republicans boast this year's class of new candidates is the most diverse in history.

  • The NRCC notes that 29 of its 75 House targets have a Hispanic population over 15%.

In the Times/Siena poll, Ds hold a 20-point advantage over Rs among white college-educated voters — but are statistically tied among Hispanics.

  • Hispanic voters backed Democrats by a nearly 50-point margin in the 2018 midterms. In the 2016 congressional elections, Dems lost white voters with a bachelor's degree.

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