If the GOP in California had gotten the commensurate number of House seats with their vote percentage (35%) or even a just a few less, Kevin McCarthy would now be speaker. GOP always pulls more than 1/3 of the CA vote, but in 2020 they only got 21% of House seats. In 2018, with a similar number of votes they only got 13% of House seats.
In 2022, if the redistricting commission actually does a good/fair job (unlike in 2010-2), it makes it very likely GOP will get a majority, especially as there are so many states that are gerrymandered in their favor. A swing of at least 6-seats just in California should be expected regardless of what happens elsewhere.
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If the GOP in California had gotten the commensurate number of House seats with their vote percentage (35%) or even a just a few less, Kevin McCarthy would now be speaker. GOP always pulls more than 1/3 of the CA vote, but in 2020 they only got 21% of House seats. In 2018, with a similar number of votes they only got 13% of House seats.
In 2022, if the redistricting commission actually does a good/fair job (unlike in 2010-2), it makes it very likely GOP will get a majority, especially as there are so many states that are gerrymandered in their favor. A swing of at least 6-seats just in California should be expected regardless of what happens elsewhere.
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