June 4, 2021

Capitol Hill staffers on the 2022 election

 Political Wire

Punchbowl News surveys Congressional staffers:

  • 78% of House staffers think Republicans will win the House. This is up 12% from the last survey in April.
  • 70% of Senate staffers think Democrats will keep the Senate. This is up 4% since April.

 

1 comment:

Proncias MacAnEan said...

If the GOP in California had gotten the commensurate number of House seats with their vote percentage (35%) or even a just a few less, Kevin McCarthy would now be speaker. GOP always pulls more than 1/3 of the CA vote, but in 2020 they only got 21% of House seats. In 2018, with a similar number of votes they only got 13% of House seats.

In 2022, if the redistricting commission actually does a good/fair job (unlike in 2010-2), it makes it very likely GOP will get a majority, especially as there are so many states that are gerrymandered in their favor. A swing of at least 6-seats just in California should be expected regardless of what happens elsewhere.