Sam Smith
Although Trump has caused a huge amount of trouble in just
the few months he has been president, this doesn’t necessarily define the
future. As the Review has noted from time to time, failing cultures often raise
a lot of hell in their declining years, witness the Indian ghost dance cult or
the segregationists fighting civil rights in the South. But history is not
defined by noise but by change and the latter can often be inevitable despite
the former.
Thus, while there are reasons to believe that the Trump
regime represents a move toward fascism, an alternative argument is that Trump,
in his extraordinary combination of mental instability and incompetence,
signifies the collapse of the powerful corporatist model of recent decades.
What will determine how this comes out will be not just how
well the Trump madness is handled by the rest of the country, but whether the
young seize this time to redefine American
politics as was done by the Populists in Reconstruction, the
Progressives of the early 20th century, the New Deal/Great Society
Democrats and the 1960s rebels.
There is no doubt but that America’s initial acceptance of
Trump was due in no small part to age. Here, for example, are Trump’s share of
the 2016 vote:
· Under 30s: 37%· 30-44: 42%· 45 and older 53%
The generational shift was greater than the difference
between men and women. Further, those under 45 represented 44% of the vote and
these are the voters with the longest left to live.
In short, the future of America is, whether you like it or
not, is in the hands of those under 45. Will they rediscover the success of the
19th century Populists or the 1960s activists or will they turn
their backs on politics and hope it just goes away?
There are some early favorable signs. For example, the
Indivisible movement, which started with an online guide last December, has
gained 5983 groups nationwide in less than six months. And some appealing figures are cropping up
despite the mainstream media’s obsession with the destructive powerful of
Washington. Like Joe Kennedy III, 37, a
representative from Massachusetts who has a 95% voting record from the liberal
Americans for Demcoratic Action and is being mentioned as a possible
presidential candidate.
And then there’s Stacey Abrams, in her 40s and the black
minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives who has announced she
is running for governor of her state. Watching her on TV this morning I was
struck by how she has that sadly disappearing quality in American politicians (with
a few exceptions like Joe Biden), which is to say that she speaks United States
and not campaign gobbledygook.
But there are several important problems that are not
getting enough attention. Such as why did those 45-64 vote for Trump in the
same proportion as their elders? They’re going to be around for awhile and so
need to be reached.
Then there is the media’s news preference for power and evil
that gives a small number of politicians such as Trump an undue amount of
attention. I have never seen so much time given to White House propaganda such
as Sean Spice’s babbles as is currently the case. As a result we don’t know all
the states and cities, for example, that have come out in favor of the Paris
accords. And the public has little sense of the leaders of black, latino, women
or labor movements.
One of the ways to change this would be to create a
cross-cultural movement that shared, say, a dozen priorities, backed by ethnic
minorities, women, labor and other causes. As there was during the days of
Martin Luther King, there needs to be a visible, easy to find opposition to the
institutional madness centered in Washington.
Finally, the white working class needs to be brought back
both as a partner and as a cause.
Over half of those with no or just some college education
voted for Trump and if you eliminate the minorities in those numbers, the
figure would be even higher.
Labor unions, which liberals began to desert some three
decades ago, can help in this. But so can a recognition that the working class
can’t be expected to vote right if those with more power and money choose to
ignore or dis’ them. It’s not an issue
of ethnicity and class. As Stacey Abrams put it recently, “You’ve got to walk
and chew gum at the exact same time.”
This is a grim time but even this political cynic
appreciates that it is the folks who come with a new picture of what the future
could look like who do the most for us. We need to fight Trump with one hand
and build a better future with the other.
And, right now, the young are our biggest allies.
1 comment:
"In short, the future of America is, whether you like it or not, is in the hands of those under 45."
This is exactly it. And it's precisely why the Republicans are just so much stronger than the Democrats, and will remain so for some time to come. The Dem leadership is ridiculously geriatric, not just old but what old people call elderly, and they are totally out of touch with what young people in this country want. The average age of the Repub leadership in Congress is 50, while that of the Dems is approaching 80. Yes, 80.
As an old liberal and former Dem, I think the Repubs have a much better grasp on the future than the fading remnants of the 20th century in the Dems. If I was young I'd go with them for sure. I think there's a much better chance of getting them to do useful things than the hate-filled folks on the left.
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