September 9, 2016

Morning Line

Based on recent poll averages:

This has not been a good week for the Democrats. In both the electoral college and the Senate count, the Democrat have lost ground:

Clinton is leading with 172 of the needed 270 electoral votes, down from her best of 275.. Another 154 electoral votes are possibly Democratic. Only 63 electoral votes are definitely in the Trump column. Another 85 are possible.

In the Senate the Democrats stand to gain two seats and the GOP none. The Dems could possibly win another one. The Dems need to win four seats (plus a Democratic Veep) to control the Senate.

Meanwhile the popular vote remains too close for comfort. Nationally, Hillary Clinton is three points ahead of Trump, a statistical ties. She is 5 points better than her worst to date. Her average of 43% is 3 below her best to date and 5 above her worst to date

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

If Hilary loses, she only has herself, the Clinton Foundation, and the DNC to blame. It's hard to want to reward her dishonesty and lawbreaking by voting for her.