September 13, 2016

Morning Line

Based on recent poll averages:

Nationally, Hillary Clinton is two points ahead of Trump, a statistical tie.. She is 4 points better than her worst to date. Her average is 44% Her range has been 38-46%

Clinton is leading with 139  of the needed 270 electoral votes, down from her best of 275. This is about half as many certain electoral votes as she once had.  Another 181 electoral votes are possibly Democratic. Only 63 electoral votes are definitely in the Trump column. Another 98 are possible. This is his best standing to date.

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