September 25, 2016

Morning Line Update

Based on the average of recent polls:

Nationally, Hillary Clinton is two points behind Trump, a statistical tie. This is tied with her previous worst position vs Trump. Her current average percentage is 41% . Her election range has been 38-46%

Clinton is leading with 159 of the needed 270 electoral votes, down from her best of 275.. This is 59% as many certain electoral votes as she once had. Another 158 electoral votes are possibly Democratic. Only 48 electoral votes are definitely in the Trump column. Another 177 are possible.

In the Senate the Democrats stand to gain two seats. The Democrats have a slight lead in two more and the GOP in one. Thyre is one tie. The Dems need to win four seats (plus a Democratic Veep) to control the Senate.

In governorships, Democrats should pick up 1 this year. Democrats have already gained another, . Democrats are each leaning ahead in 2 race and Repubicans in one

No comments: