Harvard
Unversity - As a leading
researcher on suicide, Matthew K. Nock knows the subject’s grim statistics by
heart. Suicide is the second-leading cause of death for Americans aged 10 to
34, trailing only accidents. It claims more lives around the world each year
than war, genocide, homicide, and all other violence combined. And 50 percent
of people who died by suicide saw a clinician in their final month, according
to multiple studies in recent decades, including Nock’s own research.
For Nock, that last statistic is
both agonizing and motivating. Some might take it to mean that the warning
signs of suicide are imperceptible or think that suicide is somehow inevitable
for those in the grips of extreme suffering. Nock, who is both a researcher and
a licensed clinician, reads the statistic as a tragic gap in a clinical-care
system rooted in scheduled therapy appointments, which can fail to detect the
highly variable — and fleeting — nature of suicidal thoughts.
But two new statistics make Nock,
the Edgar Pierce Professor of Psychology, cautiously optimistic: In a multiyear
study of 600-plus high-risk adults and adolescents, his lab predicted 75
percent of suicide attempts and 87 percent of suicide-related events in the
week before they occurred. (Suicide-related events refer to attempts as well as
hospitalizations to prevent attempts.)
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