August 4, 2026

Polls

Newsweek -  The RealClear Polling Generic Congressional vote gives Democrats a 6-point edge. Kalshi and Polymarket give the party an 86-84 percent chance of taking the House, but Republicans still hold a 56-54 percent chance of keeping the Senate. Of course, in today’s era of politics, anything can happen, and both parties have reasons to feel confident.



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