May 8, 2026

Middle East

Independent, UK -  New CIA analysis suggests Iran can withstand the US blockade for three to four more months, challenging claims that Tehran needs the conflict to end imminently.
The confidential report indicates Iran's resilience stems from storing oil in floating tankers, managing oil field flows, and potentially smuggling oil via overland routes.

This assessment aligns with previous reports suggesting Iran has approximately 120 days of crude oil availability for China, with the CIA estimating 90 to 120 days of economic endurance.
US intelligence also reveals Iran retains significant missile stockpiles (70 per cent of pre-war levels) and mobile launchers (75 per cent), contradicting statements about its rapidly diminishing weapons.

NBC News -  The U.S. and Iran exchanged fire near the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, raising questions about the negotiations to end the conflict. President Donald Trump said on Truth Social that the attacks happened as three U.S. military ships were transiting through the strait and claimed that there was “no damage done to the three Destroyers, but great damage done to the Iranian attackers.” 

In an interview with ABC News, Trump said the ceasefire was still in effect. “It’s just a love tap,” he said. 

The Iranian military said it fired at the ships only after the U.S. military violated the ceasefire and attacked an Iranian oil tanker.

Trump later told a group of reporters that negotiations with Iran for a peace deal were “going very well, but they have to understand if it doesn’t get signed, they’re going to have a lot of pain.” He also said a deal “might not happen, but it could happen any day.”

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