Polls

Participants in the prediction market Polymarket now collectively give Democrats a 49% chance of retaking control of the Senate after the 2026 elections, which is basically just a coin flip and up from only a 22% chance five months ago.

The Guardian -  One of the biggest conservative gatherings in the US ran a poll showing vice-president JD Vance is the top choice this year to be the next Republican presidential candidate. The poll from the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), released on Saturday, was taken during this year’s gathering. About 53% of the more than 1,600 attendees who voted in the poll chose Vance, Reuters reports. Marco Rubio, the secretary of state, came in second with 35%.