Polling update

TRUMP VS HARRIS
5 poll average: Harris leads by 1% ... Harris' best this year was 5%

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: HARRIS VS. TRUMP/OTHERS
Five poll average: TIE In June Biden's best was 2% behind Trump.

PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
270 electoral votes needed to win. Harris currently has 218.  Biden won in 2020 with 306.  There are now 77 electoral votes too close to call, 7 more than Harris needs to win

ARIZONA
3 poll average: Trump leads by 3%
Electoral vote:  11  for Trump

FLORIDA
Three poll average:  Trump leads Harris by 8% - 5 % better than 2020

GEORGIA
Three poll average: Trump leads by 2%
Electoral vote: 16 Virtual tie

MICHIGAN
Harris leads by 1%
Electoral vote: 16 Virtual tie

NEVADA
Three poll average:  Tie
Electoral vote: 6 Tie

NORTH CAROLINA
3 poll average Trump leads by 1%
Electoral vote:  15  Virtual Tie

PENNSYLVANIA    
3 poll average Trump leads by 1%
Electoral count: 20 Virtual Tie

WISCONSIN
2020 1%
Harris/Trump 3 poll average: 1 1 2   - Trump leads by 1%
Electoral count: 10 Virtual tie

Axios - Half of Gen Z voters — and almost 1 in 4 U.S. voters overall — have lied to people close to them about who they're voting for, Margaret Talev writes from the latest Axios Vibes survey by The Harris Poll. Voters 18-27 who came of age during the hyper-polarized Trump era appear to be among the most sensitive to perceived pressure and judgment from friends or loved ones.  48% of Gen Z voters said they've lied to someone close to them about who they've voted for, followed by millennials (38%), Gen Xers (17%) and Boomers and older (6%). More

Roll Call -The Senate map has long favored Republicans — and one week out from Election Day, that hasn’t changed.With the GOP almost certain to win West Virginia after the retirement of Sen. Joe Manchin III, Republicans need to flip just one more of the seven competitive seats held by a Democrat or an independent to gain a majority in the chamber.

The top Democratic targets remain Sens. Jon Tester of Montana and Sherrod Brown of Ohio. Both are three-term incumbents whose states have grown more Republican since 2016. And with former President Donald Trump, who won both their states twice, on the ballot, their odds of winning grew significantly longer.  But politics can be unpredictable, and this year is no exception. Republican Ted Cruz is facing a surprisingly close race in Texas against Democratic Rep. Colin Allred. Cruz’s vulnerability has caught the attention of national Democrats, who announced last month that they are putting money into the race to defeat him. And in deep-red Nebraska, independent Dan Osborn is within striking distance of unseating Republican Deb Fischer. National Republicans initially viewed Osborn as a long shot but now consider him a serious threat.