September 4, 2024

Polling update

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: HARRIS VS. TRUMP/OTHERS
Five poll average: Harris leads by 4%. In June Biden's best was 2% behind Trump.  

HARRIS APPROVAL RATING   Four poll average 47% - 5% better than Trump 

TRUMP APPROVAL RATING:  Most recent five poll average 42% - 5% behind Harris

PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538, 270 needed to win. Harris currently has 245.  Biden won in 2020 with 306.  There are now 62 electoral votes too close to call.

GEORGIA
Three poll average: Harris/Trump/Others TIE
Electoral vote change: Too close to call
 
MICHIGAN
2020 3%

1 3 5 Three poll average: Harris/Trump/Others Harris leads by 2%  - 1% less than Biden in 2020
ELECTORAL VOTE: Too close to call

NEVADA
Harris/Trump/Others three poll average:  Harris leads by 2%
Electoral vote:
Too close to call

PENNSYLVANIA   
Three poll average: TIE
Electoral count: Too close to call

WISCONSIN
Harris/Trump 3 poll average: - Harris leads by 6% - up 5% from 2020

MSNBC - VP Harris is leading Donald Trump by 27 points among a poll of over 3,000 eligible Latino voters, but her lead with Latinos is smaller than Democrats enjoyed in previous elections.

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