2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: HARRIS VS. TRUMP/OTHERS Updated 8:18 pm
Five poll average: Harris leads by 3% for the first time - In June Biden's best was 2% behind Trump; in our last five poll average he was behind Trump by 4%.
TRUMP APPROVAL RATING: Most recent five poll average 44% tied with Harris
HARRIS APPROVAL RATING 43 42 43 46 47 - Four poll average 44% tied with Trump
PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538. Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. Harris is down 11 electoral votes from the Dems in 2020 with 58 electoral votes too close to call. NPR gives Trump 268 electoral votes - two short of victory.
ARIZONA
Harris-Trump-Others poll average: Trump leads by 3% - up 3% from 2020
Electoral vote change Dems down 11
FLORIDA
Harris/Trump Three poll average: Trump leads Harris by 8% -up 5% from 2020
No electoral vote change
GEORGIA
2024 Harris 1 2 2
Three poll average: Trump leads by 1% up 1% from 2020
Electoral vote change: too close to call
MINNESOTA
Harris/Trump/Others 3 5% Harris leads 4%- down 3% from 2020
NEVADA
Harris/Trump/Others Trump leads by 1%- Dems down 3% from 2020
Electoral vote 6 too close to call
NORTH CAROLINA
2020 1%
2024 Harris/Trump 2% worse for Harris than last Biden/Trump
PENNSYLVANIA
2020 1%
2024 Three poll average: Trump leads by 1%
20 Electoral vote too close to call.
WISCONSIN
Harris/Trump 3 poll average: TIE Dems down 1% from 2020
10 Electoral votes too close to call
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