August 12, 2024

POLLING UPDATE: HARRIS AHEAD

Unlike most other media, Undernews bases its presidential electoral poll projections on an average of three most recent state polls rather than just the latest ones. As of now Harris leads Trump by 31 electoral votes. Based on these polls, Harris for the first time has 9 more electoral votes than she would need to win the election. There remain 34 undecided.   

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: HARRIS VS. TRUMP/OTHERS
Five poll average: Harris leads by 2% - tied with her best to date  - In June Biden's best was 2% behind Trump.

PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. \

MICHIGAN
Three poll average: Harris/Trump/Others Harris leads by 4%  3% less than Biden in 2020

PENNSYLVANIA   
2024 Trump vs. Harris/Others:   Three poll average: Harris leads by 3% 

WISCONSIN
Harris/Trump 3 poll average:  6% -ahead of Trump

Financial Review -   More Americans trust Kamala Harris to handle the US economy than Donald Trump, according to a new poll that marks a sharp change in voter sentiment following President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the White House race. The survey, conducted for the Financial Times and the University of Michigan Ross School of Business, is the first monthly poll to show the Democratic presidential candidate leading Trump on the economy since it began tracking voter sentiment on the issue nearly a year ago. Forty-two per cent of voters said they trusted Ms Harris more to handle the economy, compared with 41 per cent who said they put their faith in Trump. While Trump’s numbers were unchanged from last month, Ms Harris’ standing was a 7 percentage point improvement compared with Mr Biden’s numbers in July.

 

No comments: