July 19, 2024

Polling update

2024 RACE: BIDEN VS TRUMP & OTHERS
Most recent five poll average:  Trump leads by 4% ... In June Biden's best was 2% behind Trump

 2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Most recent 5 poll averageTrump leads by 4% ... In April Biden led by up to 3%; This May his high was 2%in June his high was 1% behind Trump  

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: HARRIS VS. TRUMP
Five poll average: Trump leads by 5%

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING   45 43 44 41 43 Most recent five poll average 43%  - Tied with Trump

TRUMP APPROVAL RATING:  2024 - 41 41 38 45 44  Most recent five poll average 43% Tied with Trump

PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. Biden is currently down 77 electoral votes from 2020 with 16 electoral votes too close to call

ARIZONA
2024 Harris/Trump  8
Biden-Trump-Others poll average: Trump leads by 7% - up 7% from 2020
Electoral vote change Biden down 11

FLORIDA
Three poll average: 
Biden/Trump   6 4 6  Trump leads by 5% Biden down 2% since 2020
Harris/Trump:
Trump leads by 10%

MICHIGAN
Three poll average: Biden/Trump/Others TIE Biden down 4% from 2020
16 electoral votes too close to call

NEVADA
2024  Biden/Trump/Others 3 poll average Trump leads by 4% - up 6% from 2020
Biden electoral vote down 6

PENNSYLVANIA   
2024 Biden/Trump 6 4 5 Trump leads by 4% - 5% better than 2020
2024 Trump/Biden/Others  5 3 6 ... Trump leads by 5% -  6% better than 2020
2024 Trump vs. Harris:  1 7 Trump leads by 4%
Biden Electoral vote down 20

WISCONSIN
2024 Biden/Trump three poll average Trump leads by 4% up 5% from 2020
Harris/Trump 1%
Biden Electoral vote down 10

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