June 11, 2024

Polling update

Note: We consider poll averages of 2% or less to be too close to be considered certain. 

2024 RACE: BIDEN VS TRUMP & OTHERS
Most recent five poll average:  Trump leads by 2%

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 2% ... In April Biden led by up to 3%; his May high was 2%

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING Most recent five poll average 41  - Tie with Trunp

TRUMP APPROVAL RATING: Most recent five poll average 41%,  Tie with Biden

PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. Biden is currently down 53 electoral votes from 2020 with 26 electoral votes too close to call

ARIZONA
Biden-Trump-Others poll average: Trump leads by 4%
Electoral vote change Biden down 11

GEORGIA
Three poll average: Biden/Trump Trump leads by 4% up 4% from 2020
Three poll average: Biden Trump/Others Trump leads by 8%
Electoral vote change: Biden down 16

MICHIGAN
Three poll average Biden/Trump:  TIE ... Biden down 3% from 2020
Three poll average: Biden/Trump/Others Biden leads by 1% down 2% from 2020
16 electoral votes too close to call

NEVADA
2024  Biden/Trump/Others 3 poll average 4  3 5 Trump leads by 4% up 6% from 2020
Biden Electoral vote do

NORTH CAROLINA
2024 
Biden/Trump  Trump leads by 6 Biden down 5% from 2020
2024 Biden/Trump/Others  Trump leads Biden by 8%

PENNSYLVANIA   
Trump-Biden 3 poll average: Trump leads by 1% - 2% better than  2020
2024 Trump/Biden/Others Trump leads by 3%
Biden Electoral vote down 20

VIRGINIA
2024 Biden leads by 3% down 7% from 2020

WISCONSIN
Biden leads by 1% same as 2020
2024 Biden/Trump/Others three poll average  1 1 1 
TIE
10 Electoral vote too close to call

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