April 30, 2024

Polling update

While the presidential race is statistically too close to call the media and Democrats have downplayed the fact that Trump has lost little polling status even since his scandals have become front and center. Based on recent polling, a criminally indicted former president is actually leading Joe Biden 

 2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 2% ... Earlier in April Biden led by 3%

2024 RACE: BIDEN VS TRUMP & OTHERS
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 2%

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING   Most recent five poll average 42%  - 7% below 2023 high, 1% above 2023 low, 1% behind Trump

TRUMP APPROVAL RATING: Most recent five poll average 43%, 1% ahead of Biden 

ELECTORAL VOTE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. Trump's lead in 2024 based on polls is 15 with another 16 too close to call

ARIZONA
Biden- Trump poll average: Trump leads by 6%  Biden down 6% from 2020
Biden-Trump-Others poll average: Trump leads by 4%
Electoral vote change Biden down 11

GEORGIA
Three poll average: Biden/Trump Trump leads by 3% up 3% from 2020
Three poll average: Biden Trump/Others Trump leads by 5%
Electoral vote change: Biden down 16

MICHIGAN
Three poll average Biden/Trump:  Biden leads by 1% down 2% from 2020
Three poll average: Biden/Trump/Others  TIE
16 electoral votes too close to call

NEVADA
2024 Biden/Trump 3 poll avg Trump leads by 4% Biden down 6% from 2020
2024  Biden/Trump/Others 3 poll average Trump leads by 6%
Biden Electoral vote down 6

NORTH CAROLINA
2024 
Biden/Trump  Trump leads by 8 Biden down 7% from 2020
2024 Biden/Trump/Others Trump leads Biden by 7%

PENNSYLVANIA   
2024 Trump-Biden Trump-Biden three poll average: Trump leads by 3% - 4% better than in 2020
Trump-Biden-Others: Trump leads by 1%
Biden Electoral vote down 20

WISCONSIN
2024 Biden/Trump/Others Trump leads by 2%
2024 Trump/Biden Biden down by 2% from 2020
Biden Electoral vote down 10

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