Polling update

For the first time in months, key state three poll average has turned slightly to Biden who now leads by 14 electoral votes thanks to more favorable polls in Pennsylvania. 

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 3%  ... Last June: Tie

2024 RACE: BIDEN VS TRUMP & OTHERS
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 2% 

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING  Most recent five poll average 42%  - 7% below 2023 high, 4% above 2023 low

TRUMP APPROVAL RATING: 43 48 44 43 43 Most recent five poll average 44%, 2% ahead of Biden

 PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. Biden's lead in 2024 is 14.

ARIZONA
Biden- Trump poll average: Biden down 4% from 2020
Biden-Trump-Others poll: Trump leads by 7%
Electoral vote change Biden down 11

GEORGIA
Three poll average: Biden/Trump Trump leads by 6% up 6% from 2020
Three poll average: Biden Trump/Others Trump leads by 6%
Electoral vote change: Biden down 16
 

MICHIGAN
Three poll average Biden/Trump:  3% Biden down 6% from 2020
Three poll average: Biden/Trump/Others  4%
Biden Electoral vote down 16

NEVADA
2024 Biden/Trump 3 poll avg Trump leads by 3% Biden down 5% from 2020
2024  Biden/Trump/Others 3 poll average  Trump leads by 7%
Biden Electoral vote down 6

NORTH CAROLINA
2020 1%
2024  Biden/Trump 2 3 6 Trump leads by 4 Biden down 3% from 2020
2024 Biden/Trump/Others 9 2 3 Trump leads Biden by 5%

PENNSYLVANIA   
Trump-Biden three poll average: Biden leads by 2% up 1% from 2020
Trump-Biden-Others: Trump leads by 3%

WISCONSIN
2024 Biden/Trump/Others rump leads by 4%
2024 Trump/Biden Biden down by 2% from 2020
Biden Electoral vote down 10