March 22, 2024

Polling update

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Most recent five poll average: TIE  ... Last June: Tie

2024 RACE: BIDEN VS TRUMP & OTHERS
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 1%

TRUMP APPROVAL RATING: Most recent five poll average 43%, 1% ahead of Biden

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING  Most recent five poll average 42%  - 7% below 2023 high, 4% above 2023 low.

PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. Trump's lead in 2024 is 6.
  

ARIZONA
Biden- Trump poll average: Biden down 4% from 2020
Biden-Trump-Others poll: Biden down 7%
Electoral vote change Biden down 11

GEORGIA
Three poll average: Biden/Trump Trump leads by 6% up 6% from 2020
Three poll average: Biden Trump/Others Trump leads by 6%
Electoral vote change: Biden down 16

MASSACHUSETTS
2024  - Biden leads by 20%, 14% lower than 2020

MICHIGAN
Three poll average Biden/Trump:  4% Biden down 7% from 2020
Three poll average: Biden/Trump/Others  4%
Biden Electoral vote down 16

NEVADA
2024 Biden/Trump 3 poll avg Trump leads by 5% - Biden down 7% from 2020
2024  Biden/Trump/Others 3 poll average  Trump leads by 7%
Biden Electoral vote down 6

NORTH CAROLINA
2024 
Biden/Trump Trump leads by 3 Biden down 2% from 2020
2024 Biden/Trump/Others 9 2 3 Trump leads Biden by 5%

PENNSYLVANIA   
Trump-Biden three poll average: Trump leads by 1%
Biden down 2% from 2020
Trump-Biden-Others: Trump leads by 3%
Biden electoral vote down 20

WISCONSIN
2024 Biden/Trump/Others 3 4 4  Trump leads by 4%
2024 Trump/Biden Biden down by 2% from 2020
Biden Electoral vote down 10

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