March 1, 2024

Polling update

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 3%  ... 2% below 2024 Trump high... Last June: Tie. 

2024 RACE: BIDEN VS TRUMP & OTHERS
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 4%

2024 RACE: HARRIS VS TRUMP
Trump leads by 4%

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING
Most recent five poll average 40%  -
9% below 2023 high, 1% above 2023 low

TRUMP APPROVAL RATING
Most recent five poll average 46% .... 6% better than Biden

KEY PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538. 
Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes.
Trump's lead in 2024 is 6.

ARIZONA
Biden- Trump poll average: Trump leads by 7% Biden down 7% from 2020
Biden-Trump-Others average: Trump leads Biden by 7%.
Electoral vote change Biden down 11

GEORGIA
Three poll average: Biden/Trump Biden down 7%
Three poll average: Biden Trump/Others Biden down 8%
Electoral vote change: Biden down 16

MICHIGAN
Three poll average Biden/Trump:  3% Biden down 6% from 2020
Three poll average: Biden/Trump/Others  8%
Biden/Haley Haley down 19%
Biden Electoral vote down 16

PENNSYLVANIA   
Trump-Biden three poll average: Trump leads by 5%

Trump-Biden-Others: Trump leads by 4%
Biden electoral vote down 20

WISCONSIN
2024 Biden/Trump/Others  Trump leads by 5%
2024 Trump/Biden Trump leads by 3% Biden down by 3% from 2020
Biden Electoral vote down 10

TEXAS
2024 Biden is losing by 7%
- 1% worse than 2020
2024 Biden/Trump/Others - Biden is losing by 7%

VIRGINIA
Biden average: 5%
Biden down 5% from 2020

WISCONSIN
2024 Biden/Trump/Others Trump leads by 5%
2024 Trump/Biden Trump leads by 3% Biden down by 3% from 2020
Biden Electoral vote down 10

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