February 23, 2024

Polling update

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 1%  ... 4% below 2024 Trump high... Last June: Tie. 

2024 RACE: BIDEN VS TRUMP & OTHERS
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 2%

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING
Most recent five poll average 42%  - 7% below 2023 high, 3% above 2023 low

TRUMP APPROVAL RATING
Most recent five poll average 45% .... 3% better than Biden

BEST PARTY 
Five poll average: Republicans lead by 1%

 PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. Trump's lead in 2024 is 6. This is the first time that Trump has been leading in the electoral count

ARIZONA
Biden- Trump poll average: Biden down 3% from 2020
Biden-Trump-Others poll: Biden down 7%
Electoral vote change Biden down 11

GEORGIA
Three poll average: Biden/Trump Biden down 7% from 2020
Three poll average: Biden Trump/Others Biden down 8%
Electoral vote change: Biden down 16

MICHIGAN
Three poll average Biden/Trump:  2% Biden down 5% from 2020
Two poll average: Biden/Trump/Others  Biden down 11%
Biden/Haley Biden down 19%
Biden Electoral vote down 16

NEVADA
Biden 4% down from 2020
Biden Electoral vote down 6

NORTH CAROLINA
2024 
Biden/Trump Biden down 3% from 2020

 

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