February 20, 2024

Polling update

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 4%  ... 1% below 2024 Trump high... Last June: Tie. 

2024 RACE: BIDEN VS TRUMP & OTHERS
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 3%

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING
Most recent five poll average 42%  - 7% below 2023 high, 4% above 2023 low

TRUMP APPROVAL RATING
Most recent five poll average 45% .... 3% better than Biden

NIKKI HALEY APPROVAL RATING
Recent five poll average 41% -  2% below
Biden, 4% below Trump

BEST PARTY 
Five poll average: Republicans lead by 1%

 PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. Trump's lead in 2024 is 6. This is the first time that Trump has been leading in the electoral count

NORTH CAROLINA
2020 1%
2024 
9% 5% 3%
Three poll average: Trump leads by 5% - 4% better than in
2020

PENNSYLVANIA   
2020 1%
Trump-Biden three poll average: Trump leads by 4%

Trump-Biden-Others: Trump leads by 4%
Biden down 3% from 2020
Biden electoral vote down 20

SOUTH CAROLINA
2020 12%
2024 15% 19% 14%
2024 Biden vs Trump & Others: 17%
Biden down 4% from 2020

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