January 18, 2024

Polling update

Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. He is down to 25 in 2024. 20 other electoral votes are tied leaving Biden with 5

CALIFORNIA
2020 29%
2024 20%
Biden down 9%

NEW HAMPSHIRE
2020 8%
2024 12% 5%
4%
Biden down 4%
 

TEXAS
2020 6%
2024 8%
Trump up 2%

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Most recent five poll average: TIE ... Last June: tie

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS TRUMP & OTHERS
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 3% (2% more damage to Biden compared to a two way race) 

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING
Most recent five poll average 42%  - 7% below 2023 high, 7%  below 2022 high

TRUMP APPROVAL RATING
Four poll average 45% .... 3% above Biden

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. HALEY
Most recent five poll average: Haley leads by 2%

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. DESANTIS
Tie

DIRECTION OF COUNTRY: GOOD TIMES
Five poll average: 23%  6% below 2023 high, 8% below 2022 high

BEST PARTY
Five poll average: Tie

KENNEDY FAVORABLE
46%  - 4% above Biden, 1% below Trump

 NIKKI HALEY FAVORABLE
46% -
4% above Biden, 1% below Trump

DEANTIS FAVORABLE
41%  1% below Biden

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