January 16, 2024

Polling update

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 1% ... Last June: tie

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS TRUMP & OTHERS
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 3% (2% more damage to Biden compared to a two way race)

 PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. He is down to 25 in 2024.  

CALIFORNIA
2020 29%
2024 19%
Biden down 10%

GEORGIA
2020 0%
2024  5% 6% 8%
Three poll average: Biden/Trump Biden down 6%
2024 Biden/Trump/Others 7%
2024 Biden/Haley 6%
Electoral vote change: Biden down16

MAINE
2020 9%
2024 1%
Biden down 8%

MICHIGAN
2020 3%
2024
3% 8% 4%
Three poll average Biden/Trump: Biden down 5%
Biden/Trump/Others  Biden down 12%
Biden Electoral vote down 16


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