January 12, 2024

Polling update

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 1% ... Last June: tie

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS TRUMP & OTHERS
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 3% (2% more damage to Biden compared to a two way race)

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING
Most recent five poll average 42%, 7% below 2023 high, 8%  below 2022 high

TRUMP APPROVAL RATING
Four poll average 43% .... 1% above Biden

 PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. He is down to 25 in 2024.  

MICHIGAN
2020 3%
2024
4% 3% 8%
Three poll average Biden/Trump: Biden down 5%
Biden/Trump/Others  Biden down 12%
Biden/Haley Biden down 19%
Biden Electoral vote down 16

PENNSYLVANIA   
2020 1%
2024 (
2% 1% 2%)
Three poll average: Tie

Electoral vote: Statistical tie

No comments: