December 19, 2023

Polling update

 2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Five poll average: Trump leads by 2% ... Last June: tie

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS TRUMP & OTHERS
Five poll average: Trump leads by 6% (4% more damage to Biden compared to a two way race)

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING
Five poll average 39%, 6% below 2023 high, 6%  below 2022 high

TRUMP APPROVAL RATING
Five poll average 43%

 PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS

Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. He is down 43 votes in 2024 with 36 too close to call43

PENNSYLVANIA   
2020 1%
2024 (
4%  3% 2%)
Three poll average: Biden down 3%
Biden/Trump/Others  Trump leads by 1%

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