December 14, 2023

Polling update

 2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Five poll average: Trump leads by 2% ... Last June: tie

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING
Five poll average 41%, 4% below 2023 high, 4%  below 2022 high

 PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS

Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. He is down 63electoral votes in 2024 with 20too close to call

ARIZONA
2020 0%
2024 5% 7% 4%
Three poll Average: Biden down 5% vs Trump
Biden down 3% against Trump/Others
Electoral vote change 11 for Trump

GEORGIA
2020 0%
2024 10% 5% 6%
2024 Biden/Trump/Others 6% 7%
Three poll average Biden/Trump: Biden down 7%
Two poll average Biden/Trump/Others 7%
Biden down 16 electoral votes

MICHIGAN
2020 3%
2024
1% 10 4%
Three poll average Biden/Trump: Biden down 8% from 2020
2024 8% 8% 4%
Three poll average Biden/Trump/Others: Biden down 7%


NEVADA
2020 2%
2024 
0% 3% 4%
3 poll average Biden v Trump down 2%
3 poll average Biden/Trumo/Others down 5%
TIE

PENNSYLVANIA   
2020 1%
2024 (
4%  3% 2%)
Three poll average: Biden down 3%
Biden/Trump//Others 1%

WISCONSIN
2020 1%
2024
2% 4% 4%
Three poll average Biden/Trump 2%
Trump/Biden/Others 5%

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