December 12, 2023

Polling update

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Five poll average: Trump leads by 3% ... Last June: tie

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS TRUMP, & OTHERS
Five poll average: Trump leads by 6% (3% more damage to Biden compared to a two way race)

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING
Five poll average 39%, 6% below 2023 high, 6%  below 2022 high

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. HALEY
Three poll average: Haley leads by 8%

DIRECTION OF COUNTRY GOOD TIMES
Five poll average: 23%  6% below 2023 high, 8% below 2022 high

 PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS

Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. He leads in 2024 by 11 with another 16  too close to call

GEORGIA
2020 0%
2024 2% 10% 5%
2024 Biden/Trump/Others 6%
2024 Biden/Haley 6%
Three poll average Biden/Trump: Biden down 7%

 MICHIGAN
2020 3%
2024
5% 1% 10%
Three poll average Biden/Trump: Biden down 8% from 2020
Poll average Biden/Trump/Others: Biden down 8%
Poll average Biden/Haley Biden down 6%

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