September 1, 2023

Polling update

 The polling data is confusing because some of the polls don't include Cornel West, the Statehood Party candidate, who will be on the ballot in many states.  He's been pulling 4-5% of the vote. 

Ranked choice polling:

  • DeSantis (47%) and Tim Scott (28%) are by far the most common second choices for Trump voters
  • If Trump were not in the race, DeSantis and Scott would benefit. DeSantis would lead with 40% of voters’ first choices, with Scott earning 21%.
  • BIDEN APPROVAL RATING 
    Five poll average 41%, 5% below 2023 high, 6%  below 2022 high

    2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
    Five poll average: Tie  .... June: tie

    GOP PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY
    Five poll average:  Trump leads DeSantis by 41% up 8% since July

    TRUMP APPROVAL RATING
    Five poll average 37%  - Down  5% since April

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