If Marco Rubio represents the more conventional Republican alternative to whom the GOP will turn if Trump crashes, the threat is greater than is generally realized. Except for Alaska, North Carolina, Virginia and Florida, Rubio polls better against Clinton than Romney did against Obama. Here are Rubio's present poll averages compared to the 2012 results:
- Alaska -5
- Arizona +6
- Colorado +4
- Florida 0
- Iowa +4
- Michigan +3
- Minnesota +16
- Missouri +24
- North Carolina
- Hew Hampshire +9
- New York +1
- Ohio +3
- Pennsylvania +8
- Virginia 0
- Wisconsin +8
This is another sign that the election could be much tougher for Democrats than they are willing to admit.
Also:
- Sanders leads Clinton nationally by 2 points, statistical tie.
- Trump won Nevada by 22 points, 6 better than the poll averages projected
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