June 7, 2015

Morning Line

Our moving average of polls finds Hillary Clinton in a statistical tie with two Republicans: Rubio and Paul who lag her by only 2-3 points . She leads Walker by 5 and Huckabee by 7, which means the four top Republican candidates only need a 2 to 4 point shift to move to the top.

In our moving average of the GOP primary, Bush & Rubio have 11 points, Walker and Huckabee 10 points. No one else is in double digits.

Among Republicans, Walker leads in 5 states, Bush in 4, Huckabee in 3, Christie in 2, Paul and Cruz in1

Clinton leads by 48 points over Sanders and Biden

In Senate races, Democrats stand to pick up 2 seats

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