Our moving average of polls finds Hillary Clinton in a statistical tie with two Republicans: Rubio and Paul who lag her by only 3 points . She leads Walker and Huckabee by 6 points and Bush and Christie by 7 points, which means six Republican candidates only need a 2 to 4 point shift to move to the top.
In our moving average of the GOP primary,Bush has 12 points, Rubio 11, Carson, Walker and Huckabee 10 points. No one else is in double digits.
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