May 9, 2017

Lower black turnout hurt Clinton significantly

Talking Points Memo A new study co-authored by political science professors and a policy analyst from the think tank Demos finds that Donald Trump’s electoral college victory in November depended heavily on an increase in white voter turnout and an even bigger decrease in turnout among African-American voters—particularly in the key swing states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

Comparing data from the voter file vendor Catalist and the U.S. Census Bureau, the researchers concluded: “Without those shifts in turnout from various racial and ethnic groups, these pivotal states might have gone not to Trump but to Clinton — giving Clinton an electoral college victory.”

The study, published Monday in the Washington Post‘s Monkey Cage blog, found that between 2012 and 2016, white voter turnout jumped 2.4 percent nationally, while black voter turnout fell 4.7 percent.


Anonymous said...

Lower black turnout is also why Barack O'Neoliberalism got hammered in the 2010 mid-terms.

The liberal intelligentsia: for when the truth just won't do.

Bill Tierney said...

Perhaps blacks looked at all the "progress" since the Great Society and came to the conclusion that they have been shafted. Welfare isn't a gift. They are being bought. Obviously, their vote is being bought, but their dignity and independent is being bought too, and the sale price is WAY TOO LOW.

Perhaps that came to the conclusion that a dad in the form of a government check isn't much of a dad.

Perhaps they came to the conclusion that liberals are the racists, with all the assumptions that blacks are too incompetent to get an ID.

Bill Tierney said...

Perhaps Blacks were tired of being told they need the government to live their lives for them.

Perhaps the black on welfare came to the conclusion that daddy in the form of a government check isn't much of a daddy.

Perhaps they came to the conclusion that people who think they are so incompetent that they can't get an ID are the racists.