October 30, 2016

Morning Line

Based on the average of recent polls:

Nationally, Hillary Clinton is five points ahead of Trump,. This this is 7 points better than her worst position vs Trump and two points less than her best.. Her current average percentage is 45%, Her campaign range has been 38-48%

Clinton is leading with 265 of the needed 270 electoral votes, down 10 from her best of 275 early in the campaign. Another 15 electoral votes are leaning Democratic. 96 electoral votes are definitely in the Trump column. Another 116 are possible. This would still leave him 58 votes short.

In the Senate the Democratshave a narrow lead in three currently GOP seats. One current Demcoratic seat is in doubt. Five GOP seats are in doubt. The Dems need to win four more seats (plus a Democratic Veep) to control the Senate.

Democrats have already gained one governorship and could gain two more. Two current Democratic governorships are in doubt and the GOP is ahead in another


Tom Puckett said...

Here's Susan Sarandon's endorsement letter to the Stein/Baraka campaign. Her reasonable sentiments echo my own.

Its significant to note that these morning line tallies may not reflect all those who intend to vote. Also, instead of just telling readers that Clinton is best, editors should be presenting all sides and points of view to let readers decide for themselves.

I don't understand why popular editors, such as Bill Maher, participate in the Stein/Baraka blackout but I don't need to know. Social media has allowed those who diligently seek an alternative to the two headed fool that has become the DemoPublicans and their candidate, the ClUmps, to get information that allows them to make informed and principled decisions.

I'm going to invest my vote this time and every time going forward in Green party or independent candidates. If there are none, then, reluctantly, I'll vote for Democrats. If there are none of the above I certainly would never vote for a Republican, even in the unlikely event that Einstein or Jesus came back and was one.

Republicans have devolved into a party with no heart. Democrats have now been shown to have no honor. They are just not for me, even if my one tiny vote brought the whole world down in flames (but as we all know, it wouldn't). And its those party's fault - they could choose to enact those policies that will do the most good for the most people but they allow greed to rule their thinking and actions.

And the cynical back-room planners have put forth a black man and a woman in the hopes that people will be superficial and agree since "its time" we have a president who is different. But it not someone's gender or color that is important - its what their policies are. I'd vote for the Hunchback Of Notre Dame if he would facilitate getting the policies on Susan Sarandon's list enacted.

I'd rather be right and lose than be wrong but win. I think that many in the country just want to win and don't exert the effort to educate themselves on who is best and who deserves to win. This makes them easy targets for those who would tell them who to vote for in furtherance of a hidden agenda to exploit all those who would capitulate against their own best interests .

Cheers, Tom
Dear Jill and team,

I've been waiting for any indication that Hillary Clinton's position on the issues that are most urgent to me, has changed. But ...

   She does not support the $15 minimum wage.
   She shows no support for legalizing marijuana.
   She supports TPP.
   She has sold fracking and Monsanto.
   She supports offshore drilling.
   She has no position on the Dakota Access Pipeline.
   She opposes the labeling of GMOs.
   She opposes the breakup of big banks.
   She takes lobbyists' money for campaigning.
   She opposes a binding climate treaty.
   She supports unconditional military aid to Israel.

I'm therefore very happy to endorse Jill Stein for the presidency because she does stand for everything I believe in.

It's clear a third party is necessary and viable at this time. And this is the first step in accomplishing this end.

Fear of Donald Trump is not enough for me to support Clinton, with her record of corruption.

Now that Trump is self-destructing, I feel even those in swing states have the opportunity to vote their conscience.

Susan Sarandon

Anonymous said...

It's clear Sam is in the bag for the Democratic Party. His posturing the progressive is just so much noise these days. He suffers from that disease that infects so many who spend too much time within the beltway of DC. It entails a measure of contempt for the general public and their abilities to sort matters out when presented with the full spectrum of facts, opinions, and concerns about important issues. Really, it is more than contempt for the regular citizen, it is a denial of the faith in the power of truth and reason to prevail, hence these blackouts of contrary or critical voices. Only those with something to hide fear truth, so what's that tell you about the Democratic Party in general and the Clinton clan in particular?

Anonymous said...

From the point of view of a post-WWIII planet the current news demonstrates a species that is at an evolutionary dead end like the dodo, in an era characterized by mass extinctions. Much as the planet mobilized to reject Nazi control of human evolution, the mobilization of nation-states against the institution of warfare itself, is the current task.