May 22, 2016

Morning Line: Sander 11 points better against Trump than Clinton

Based on the average of recent polls:
  • Hillary Clinton is 3 points ahead of Trump,a statistical tie. Sanders would beat Trump by 14, his best yet
  • Clinton leads Sanders by 11 points nationally. Her closest lead: 3
This is a classic example of establishment myopia at work. As with Vietnam and the Middle East, once those on top have decided on the right policy, facts no longer matter. From a more traditional political perspective, Clinton is potentially a disaster in waiting.

No comments: