April 6, 2016

Morning Line

Based on the average of recent polls:
  • Clinton and Sanders are statistically tied for the first time in the campaign
  • Nationally, Trump leads Cruz by 10, 8 is the closest they have been to date
  • Trump and Clinton lead easily in New York
  • Trump leads by 11 in Pennsylvania, Clinton leads by 18
  • Nationally, Sanders would beat Trump by 18 points while Clinton would lead by 16. Their best leads are 21 for Sanders and 12 for Clinton
  • Nationally, Sanders would beat Cruz by 9, 4 points better than Clinton. Their best leads are 6 for Sanders and 6 for Clinton
  • In electoral votes, Democrats have 138 firm or leaning towards the party, the GOP has 99.
  • In Senate races, Democrats stand to pick up 1 seat and could pick up 4 more, enough for the GOP to lose its majority

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