New Yorker -For more than a decade, Democrats have claimed that Latinos are key to electoral victories, but even when they’ve won they’ve been frustrated, first, by persistent low Latino turnout and, more recently, by Latinos moving toward the Republican Party. Barack Obama hit high-water marks for Latino support in 2008 (sixty-seven per cent) and 2012 (seventy-one per cent). Joe Biden won fifty-nine per cent of the Latino vote in 2020, but this year that support was on a precipitous decline, and it looked as if he could be on a path to winning Latinos by just single digits. Now, however, according to a memo from Equis Research, “the very early polling on a Harris-Trump election suggests a reset in the fight over Latino voters.” According to its most recent swing-state polling, Harris’s candidacy has brought Latino Democratic support closer to what it was in 2020. Democrats are now hoping, as they have in election cycles past, to take one step further—to activate Latinos who haven’t previously voted to decisively win the election.
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