TALES FROM THE ATTIC

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MULTITUDES: The unauthorized memoirs of Sam Smith

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July 7, 2024

Polling update

 This is the worst polling update we've seen in this race thanks in no, small part to a media treating Biden as more of a problem than a chronic liar, convicted criminal and advocate of some the worst policies of modern history.

 2024 RACE: BIDEN VS TRUMP & OTHERS
Most recent five poll average:  Trump leads by 5% ... In June Biden's best was 2% behind Trump

 2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Most recent five poll average: Trump leads by 4% ... In April Biden led by up to 3%; his May high was 2%; in June his high was 1% behind Trump  

BIDEN APPROVAL RATING  Most recent five poll average 35  - 9% behind Trump

TRUMP APPROVAL RATING: Most recent five poll average 44%,  9% ahead of Biden

 PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538.  Biden won in 2020 by 74 electoral votes. Biden is currently down 67 electoral votes from 2020 with 36 electoral votes too close to call

ARIZONA
Biden-Trump-Others poll average: Trump leads by 7% - up 7% from 2020
Electoral vote change Biden down 11

GEORGIA
Three poll average: Biden Trump/Others Trump leads by 5%
Electoral vote change: Biden down 16

MICHIGAN
Three poll average: Biden/Trump/Others TIE
16 electoral votes too close to call

NEVADA
Biden/Trump/Others 3 poll average: Trump leads by 5% up 7% from 2020
Biden Electoral vote down 6

NORTH CAROLINA
2024 Biden/Trump/Others three poll average: Trump leads Biden by 6% up 5% from 2020

PENNSYLVANIA   
Trump/Biden/Others Trump leads by 3% -  4% better than 2020
Biden Electoral vote down 20

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