Robert B. Hubbell - TThere was good news on several fronts on Friday. Trump backed down—for now—on his threat to invoke the Insurrection Act to send troops to Minneapolis. See NYTimes, Trump Backs Down on Insurrection Act as Democrats Take the Offensive.
There were several factors that contributed to Trump’s reversal, including (a) a plea by Minnesota Governor Tim Walz to “turn the temperature down,” (b) pushback (read: outrage) from Democrats in Congress over the threat; and (c) a sinking realization within the Trump administration that invoking the Insurrection Act would likely be overruled in the courts. See Mark Joseph Stern and Steve Vlaedeck in Slate, Donald Trump’s Insurrection Act threat: Why the president hasn’t sent the military into Minneapolis....
Trump’s advisers in the White House are waking up to the fact that the cruel, militaristic tactics used by ICE are angering the American people as never before. See Axios, Trump’s immigration erosion worries his team.
...The private polling suggested a rupturing of the coalition of independent, moderate and minority voters who were key parts of Trump’s victory in 2024. Such voters will play a big role in determining whether Republicans keep their slim House majority in November’s midterms.
If Republicans lose the House, Trump will head into his final two years in office as a lame duck who, he acknowledges, could face a third impeachment.
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