Polling update

EARLIER POLLS

COUNTRY MOVING IN RIGHT DIRECTION?

20 20 22 18 15 Five poll average: 19%  11 points below high this year. 26% below 2021 high and 23% below high of last Trump year

DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY w/o Biden

8 31 16%   Harris
30 17  9%  Newsom
14%           Michelle Obama
10 13 11% Sanders
11%           Hillary Clinton
10  9%      Buttegeig

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE

3 2 4  Biden vs. Trump. 4%
1 1 3  Harris vs. Trump average tie
 3 3 4 Biden vs,  DeSantis average  3%
          Harris vs. DeSantis. Poll average tie
          Sanders vs Trump Average: 3%

KAMELA HARRIS APPROVAL RATING
Kamala Harris 39 32 39% Poll average 37%

 FAVORABLE RATINGS
Supreme Court 48 25 38

KAMELA HARRIS APPROVAL RATING
Kamala Harris 39 32 39% Poll average 37%

PERCENT OF DEMOCRATS WHO DON'T WANT BIDEN TO RUN
64%

             

DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY
Bold face = recent poll

30 29 15 % Biden
18 21 19%  Harris

8%              Sanders
6%              H Clinton

  STATE POLLS

State color = incumbent  party. Red= GOP lead Blue= Democratic lead

STATES: TRUMP VS BIDEN

GA 1
IA  11
MO 18
NC 9
NV 1
TX 6

STATE PRESIDENTIAL

FLORIDA
12% DeSantis over Trump

MASSACHUSETTS
29% Biden over Trump
12% Biden over Sanders
27% Trump over DeSantis


MICHIGAN
5%
Trump over DeSantis

MISSOURI
18% Trump over Biden
18%  Trunp over DeSantis

NEW HAMPSHIRE
1% DeSantis over Biden
7% Biden over Trump
2  2 19 Trump over DeSantis Average: 8

NEVADA
4% Trump over DeSantis

NEW HAMPSHIRE
1% Buttegeig over Biden

PENNSYLVANIA
1% Biden over Trump

TEXAS
29% DeSantis over Cruz
26% Trump over DeSantis
 
      

GOVERNOR RACES
State color = incumbent party Red= GOP lead Blue= Democratic lead
Slash (/) show margin in multi-candidate races

Arizona 4
Alaska 25 18
Connecticut 3 2 13

Florida  21/23 1 8/3
Georgia  7 5 5
Illinois 10
Iowa 8 17
Louisiana 8

Maine 3 3 4
Massachusetts 34/39
Michigan Five poll average 12%
Minnesota 2 2
Nevada 2/4/12 28/12
New Hampshire 38, 26 10
New Mexico 4/16 3/1
New York 3/15 6/20 24/27
Oklahoma 14 18
Oregon 2 3
Pennsylvania 9 3

Texas
6 5 5 Average 5%
Vermont 4%
Wisconsin 4-17

SENATE RACES
State color = incumbent  party. Red= GOP lead Blue= Democratic lead

Arizona 5 14 18%
Connecticut 11/15

Florida 8 5 10  Average: 8%

Georgia 3 3 3
Nevada 7 1/3 0
Iowa 18 5 8
Kentucky 16

Louisiana 3
Missouri 4 1
6/14
New Hampshire
3/15 2/6
North Carolina 7/5  5 5
Ohio 11 10 11
Pennsylvania 14 10 17
Vermont 35%
Utah 10 5
Washington 18
18 20
Wisconsin 2 1-2

FAVORABLE RATINGS
Recent polls in bold

Supreme Court 48 25 38
Joe Biden in Nevada 48 30
Kamala Harris 41 39 39% Poll average 40%
Democratic Party 43%
Joe Manchin 42% (60% in WV)
Kysten Sinema 42%
Glenn Youngkin 41%
Republican Party 40%
Nancy Pelosi 33%
Chuck Schumer 31%
Kevin McCarthy 31%
Mitch McConnell 27%

ISSUES
% support/approve/agree
% oppose

ABORTION
Oppose Supreme Court decision 52%

CULTURE
Facebook is making society worse 76%

DEMOCRACY
Support term limits for judges 67%
Confidence in elections 42%
America has a serious free speech problem 81%

Bills restricting classroom discussion of sexual orientation & gender identity: 62% oppose
Oppose banning books 83%
Supreme Court 40 54 25%.

DRUGS
Legalizing marijuana 69%

ECOLOGY
Require solar power on new houses 70%
Global warming is very/extremely important 59%

ECONOMY
Higher prices difficult or a hardship: 66%
Raise minimum wage: Support 71%

ELECTIONS
Ranked Choice Voting in federal elections 61%

End electoral college 61%
Term limits for Supreme Court justices 67%

ETHNIC
Black Lives Matter 83% among blacks, 60% among latinos and 47% among whites

 FOREIGN AFFAIRS
US Jews: Israel is an apartheid state 25%
Military action against Russia 62% oppose
Sanctions against Russia 63%

HEALTH
Drug pricing reform 83%

POLITICS
Trump should be charged with a crime 48%

Justice Thomas' recusal in Jan 6 issues 52%
Justice Thomas' recusal in Jan 6 issues 52%
Biden's Ukraine policy 52 47 72%
Biden won the election 55, 58%
Stricter gun laws 52%
Reduce police funding 15

RELIGION
Belief in God 81%

TRUMP
Support criminal prosecution 50%

WOMEN
Oppose overturning Roe v Wade 64 63%
Roe v Wade approval
69 65 59%

MISC
Year round daylight saving time: 46% Year round standard time 31%


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