2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: HARRIS VS. TRUMP/OTHERS
Five poll average: Harris leads by 2%. This is 3% below her best so far. In June Biden's best was 2% behind Trump.
PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538 --270 needed to win. Harris currently has 228. Biden won in 2020 with 306. There are now 85 electoral votes too close to call
FLORIDA
Three poll average: Trump leads Harris by 3% - same as in 2020
GEORGIA
Three poll average: Harris/Trump/Others Trump leads by 1%
Electoral vote: TIE
In the NBC poll Trump is ahead among men (52%-40%), white voters (52%-43%) and white voters without college degrees (61%-33%). Seventy-one percent of all voters say their minds are made up, while 11% say they might change their vote — a shift from April, when 26% said they could still change their mind...
Harris holds the advantage among Black voters (85%-7%), voters ages 18-34 (57%-34%), women (58%-37%), white voters with college degrees (59%-38%) and independents (43%-35%).
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