September 29, 2024

Polling update

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: HARRIS VS. TRUMP PLUS OTHERS
Five poll average: Harris leads by 4%. This is 1% below her best so far. In June Biden's best was 2% behind Trump. 

2024 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: HARRIS VS. TRUMP
Five poll average: Harris leads by 4%.

PRESIDENTIAL STATE MARGINS
Total electoral votes: 538 --270 needed to win. Harris currently has 208.  Biden won in 2020 with 306.  There are now 105 electoral votes too close to call

MICHIGAN
Three poll average: Harris leads by 1%  - 2% below Biden in 2020
ELECTORAL VOTE:
Virtual tie

WISCONSIN
Harris/Trump 3 poll average:   Harris leads by 2%

NBCHarris leads Trump nationally among Latinos, 54% to 40%, but Democrats’ edge is at its lowest level in the last four presidential cycles... Overall, the poll shows that Democratic presidential candidate Harris has lost some ground... Support for Harris is at 54% among registered Latino voters, according to the poll, while Trump gets 40% and another 6% say they’re unsure or wouldn’t vote. The margin of error in the poll is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. While Harris’ 14-point advantage is an improvement from President Joe Biden’s standing when he was at the top of the ticket, it is still lower than the past leads Democratic presidential candidates enjoyed in 2012 (by 39 points), 2016 (50 points) and 2020 (36 points), according to NBC’s merged polling data from those past cycles.

 

 

 
Electoral count: Virtual tie

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